You may ask! What is the outlook for Q3 of 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' and will we see a...

Paul Thurston
3 days ago
5 min read

Updated: 3 days ago

You may ask! What is the outlook for Q3 and the remainder of 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' and more specifically will we see a ‘CONTINUATION’ of the current 'BULL-Market' or a 'CORRECTION’ and return to a ‘BEAR-Market’.

It will be interesting to see how everything plays out for the major market indices both in the near-term Q3 and Q4 (The Remainder of 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE'), as well as further into the future and long-term:

'Y2K+TWENTY-SIX'

'Y2K+TWENTY-SEVEN'

'Y2K+TWENTY-EIGHT'

'Y2K+TWENTY-NINE'

'Y2K+THIRTY' YES '2030’

'Y2K+THIRTY-ONE' YES '2031'

We are facing economic conditions that can and may change at any moment however the history of the major market indices is that they have all ascended higher over time and have especially ascended higher during the last five to ten to fifteen years and more specifically since 'Y2K+NINE' which was preceded by the financial crisis (The Great Recession) of "Y2K+EIGHT'.

Let's now look at the recent history of this current market trend and more specifically the 'BULL-Market’ that we have seen since Tuesday, April 8, 2025 when the market pivoted and began its recent ascent from the previous ‘BEAR-Market’ conditions and off of the market lows of the year, Year-to-Date (YTD).

Let us now focus on the Q2 which ended Monday, June 30, 2025 and then we’ll give a glimpse of what we could expect for the remainder of 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' with regard to what we coined as 'FANTACY-LEVELS' or 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' way back in 'Y2K+TWENTY-ONE' or not to confuse you 'TWO-THOUSAND-TWENTY-ONE'.

Performance for Q2 which 2025:

DJIA for the Q2 which ended Monday June 30, 2025 was at 44,094.77 which was higher by +2.093.01 points or +4.98%. Okay, that's good and a great 'CONTINUATION' of the 'BULL-MARKET' which most recently began on April 8, 2025.

S&P 500 for the Q2 which ended Monday June 30, 2025 was at 6,204.94 which is higher by +593.09 points or +10.56%. Okay, that's very nice and very much a 'BULL-MARKET' and great 'CONTINUATION' of the 'BULL-MARKET' which most recently began April 8, 2025.

NASDAQ Composite for the Q2 which ended Monday June 30, 2025 was at 20,369.73 which was higher by +3,070.46 points or +17.74%. Okay, that's a very nice 'BULL-MARKET' and great 'CONTINUATION' of the 'BULL-MARKET' which most recently began April 8, 2025.

We would like to emphasize that we are currently in a 'BULL-Market’ for the major market indices which actually began after Tuesday April 8, 2025 when all major indices hit a Year-to-Date (YTD) low.

Also of note is that the Volatility Index (VIX) peaked at 52.33 on April 8, 2025 and has since descended to the more manageable level of 16.73 at market close on Monday June 30, 2025.

It is very possible that the major market indices can and may move back into a short term 'CORRECTION’ characterized by periods of high volatility while descending to lower levels again characterized by high volatility which is measured by the Volatility Index (VIX).

It is not to say that the major market indices will absolutely move into a 'CORRECTION’' however with the current economic, socioeconomic, geopolitical, and other non-economic conditions and factors we are now 'OPTIMISTIC' and 'SLIGHTLY-GUARDED' in contrast to Q2 when we were ‘CAUTIOUSLY-OPTIMISTIC’ and ‘GUARDED’ with regard to how the major market indices will 'PERFORM' in Q3 and for the remainder of this year.

Here's how the markets have performed thus far Year-to-Date (YTD) since Wednesday January 1, 2025:

DJIA for the Year-to-Date (YTD) through June 30, 2025 was at 44,094.77 which was up 1,702.50 points or +4.02%. Yes, this is very nice!

S&P 500 for the Year-to-Date (YTD) through June 30, 2025 was at 6,204.94 which was up +336.40 points or +5.73%. Yes, this is also very nice!

NASDAQ Composite for Year-to-Date (YTD) through June 30, 2025 was at 20,369.73 which was up +1,088.94 points or +5.65%. Yes, this is very nice too!

All of this is good performance for Year-to-Date (YTD) and an amazing rebound from the Year-to-Date lows seen on April 8, 2025 however there remains one big question and that is will we see a 'CONTINUATION' of the current ‘BULL-MARKET' for the major market indices in 'Y2K+25' and 'BEYOND' or will we see more of the trend of ‘Y2K+TWENTY-TWO’ and early ‘Y2K+TWENTY-TWO’ with a route in the major market indices with a landslide of a downward trend.

It is now time to ask the question...

Will we see a…

‘CONTINUATION’

-of-

‘BULL-Market'?

-or-

‘RETURN’

-of-

'BEAR-Market'?

-or-

'CORRECTION'

-or-

'COMBINATION'

-of-

'ANY-OF-THESE-SCENARIOS'

All of this and more will be answered in Q3 and during the remainder of the year 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' and more further into the future into 'Y2K+TWENTY-SIX',, 'Y2K+TWENTY-SEVEN', 'Y2K+TWENTY-EIGHT', 'Y2K+TWENTY-NINE', 'Y2K+THIRTY' and further into 'THE Y2K+THIRTY'S'!

Well…

Let's not get too far ahead of ourselves!

Let's see if the 'BULL-Market' continues!

If we see a continuation of the 'BULL-Market' in 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' we may ascend to the 'FANTACY-LEVELS' and 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' we mentioned in the latter part of 'Y2K+TWENTY-FOUR' and since.

If there is a 'CORRECTION' and the major market indices slip into a 'BEAR-Market' with levels of the major market indices not yet reaching our newly established 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' and 'FANTACY-LEVELS' which were not reached since being set in late 'Y2K+TWENTY-FOUR' we may adjust our guidance since our previous guidance was attained 'Y2K+TWENTY-FOUR' and reattained in 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE'.

***FACT: DUE TO THE 'BULL-Market’ WE HAVE SEEN SINCE APRIL 8TH, 2025 THE MAJOR MARKET INDICES HAVE ONCE AGAIN ASCENDED ABOVE OUR PREVIOUSLY ATTAINED 'FANTACY-LEVELS' AND 'FANTACY-NUMBERS'!

Below are the previous 'FANTACY-LEVELS' or as we described previously as 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' and when in 'Y2K+TWENTY-FOUR' the 'FANTACY-LEVELS' or 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' were achieved in 'Y2K+TWENTY-FOUR'!

DJIA 'FANTACY-LEVEL':

42,400.00 ACHIEVED...

NOVEMBER 6, 2024

S&P 500 'FANTACY-LEVEL':

5,800.00 ACHIEVED...

NOVEMBER 6, 2024

NASDAQ Composite 'FANTACY-LEVEL':

18,400.00 ACHIEVED...

NOVEMBER 5, 2024

***NOTE: THE MAJOR MARKET INDICES HAVE SINCE GONE BACK ABOVE THESE LEVELS AND HAVE EVEN ASCENDED HIGHER DURING THE MOST RECENT 'BULL-MARKET' WHICH STARTED APRIL 8TH, 2025 AND CAN VERY MUCH ASCEND FURTHER AS WE MOVE INTO THE LATTER PART OF 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE' AND BEYOND!

NOW THAT WE HAVE GONE BACK ABOVE THE ABOVE LEVELS WE ARE REVERTING BACK TO PREVIOUS GUIDANCE AS OUTLINED BELOW AS OUR UPDATED 'FANTACY-LEVELS' OR 'FANTACY-NUMBERS'!

TO REFRESH YOUR MEMORY WE ARE ONCE AGAIN POSTING THE GUIDANCE WE PROVIDED IN OUR DECEMBER 12, 2024 POST AND WE ARE ALSO FURTHER UPDATING OUR GUIDANCE ONCE AGAIN AS THE 'FANTACY-LEVELS' OR 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' WE POSTED ON DECEMBER 12, 2024 NEED TO BE UPDATED.

LEVELS SET ON DECEMBER 12, 2024:

DJIA 'FANTACY-LEVEL':

46,800.00

S&P 500 'FANTACY-LEVEL'

6,400.00

NASDAQ COMPOSITE...

'FANTACY-LEVEL'

20,400.00

PREVIOUS 'FANTACY-LEVELS' OR 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' AS POSTED, JANUARY 1, 2025 ARE LISTED BELOW AND ARE AN INCREASE FROM THOSE POSTED ON DECEMBER 12, 2024 APPROXIMATELY FIVE WEEKS AFTER OUR PREVIOUS 'FANTACY-LEVELS' OR 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' WERE ACHIEVED.

UPDATED (MARCH 31, 2025)

'FANTACY-LEVELS'

-OR-

'FANTACY-NUMBERS'

DJIA 'FANTACY-LEVEL'

48,600.00

S&P 500 'FANTACY-LEVEL'

7,200.00

NASDAQ COMPOSITE...

'FANTACY-LEVEL'

22,500.00

NOW, IF WE REACH THESE 'FANTACY-LEVELS' OR 'FANTACY-NUMBERS' IN 'Y2K+TWENTY-FIVE’, ‘Y2K+TWENTY-SIX’, OR ‘Y2K+TWENTY-SEVEN’ OR SOONER OR LATER WOULDN’T THAT BE GREAT!

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